Editorial Article

Ignore the Media Frenzy – Let’s GOTV and Win in 2020

By Sudhir Joshi, Communications Director CCDP.

Have you noticed when there is a big event, every news channel covers the event in the same way?  This results in a common narrative emerging while opposing points of view are suppressed through lack of media attention.

Let me give you a non-political example.  When there is a birth or marriage in the British royal family, it gets wall-to-wall coverage in the US media.  Very little else is reported for hours or sometimes days.  This occurs even though the British royal family has no policy or political authority in the US.

Consider the fact that Spain, Thailand, Japan, and other countries still have royal families.  Do we ever hear about their marriages or babies in the US press? No.

The excessive coverage of the British royal family is an example of the herd mentality that the US media exhibits which I call a ‘media frenzy.’

Now, let’s go back to politics.

Let me give you a more dangerous example of media frenzy.  The Iraq War.  Many of you may remember how the Bush administration’s claims that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction was covered non-stop. At the same time, opposing viewpoints were rarely covered.   The Bush administration was able to use the surge in patriotism after the 9/11 attack and the resulting media frenzy to convince the Congress that attacking a country that had nothing do with 9/11 was the right thing to do.   This media frenzy was partly responsible for the loss of hundreds of thousands of lives and a trillion taxpayer dollars.

So, what is the media frenzy today?

Today’s media frenzy is all about Trump and the Trump base.  A typical new story goes like this: Trump says something outrageous, then the news talk is all about why his base still supports him.  The media ignores the fact that the Trump base by the highest estimates is 40% or less. By constantly talking about the Trump base, the media makes it seem like the base is bigger than it really is.  And by extension, the media makes it seem that a Democrat winning in 2020 is a long shot.

Let’s look at some facts that the media is ignoring or under-reporting.

Hillary Clinton won the 2016 election by three million votes.  Despite Comey’s statement, despite Russian interference, despite not visiting Wisconsin often enough, despite all the criticism of her campaign, she won. Period.

Trump won fewer votes, as a percentage, than Mitt Romney. Romney won 47.2% of the vote. Trump won 46.1% — a full percentage point less. But the media’s relentless coverage of the Trump base makes it seem like he won by a landslide.

The reality is that Trump is president because he drew the electoral equivalent of a royal flush in stud poker.  The media is under-reporting how lucky Trump was.  Could it happen again? Sure.  But is it statistically probable? Not likely. And certainly not if we get to work and get out the vote.

Here’s another fact. There is no better indication of behavior than how people vote with their wallets.  So many people were shocked by the Trump’s electoral victory that Jill Stein was able to raise $7.3M in a few weeks to pay for a recount.

That same voter shock and continued abhorrent behavior by President Trump resulted in 48.7% voter turnout in the 2018 midterms.  This was the highest midterm turnout since 1913! This resulted in Democrats gaining a net of 40 seats in the House and 5 governors in mid-western ‘Trump’ states.

So, what do all these stats say about 2020 that the media is not reporting?

Well, before I get to that, let me digress.

I am friends with a couple who would have voted for Hillary in 2018 but neither one bothered to vote.  I asked them why. They answered that the media had them convinced that Hillary was going to win and Texas would go red. Of course, the media was only half right.

That’s the kind of media narrative we must overcome in 2020.

We must inform the voters that Texas can go blue in 2020 and it’s up to us to make it happen. Consider these facts.   Hillary lost Texas by 9% in 2016. But just two years later, Beto lost Texas by only 2.5%. With another two years of demographic shift in Democrats favor, Texas will be the biggest battleground state 2020.

The media frenzy wants to magnify every little quirk of the 23 Democratic candidate and then ask, ‘can this person beat Trump’ with this flaw.  They want us Democrats to start fighting among ourselves about these flaws resulting in some people voting 3rd party or some people staying home.

We must convince the voter that not voting is a vote for Trump. We must convince the voters that voting third party is a vote for Trump.

The debates and primaries will take care of themselves. A winner will emerge. We must convince our base that Texas can go blue; that their vote matters, and to VOTE BLUE NO MATTER WHO!

Comments 5

  1. Well said! We are fighting upstream against a biased media with a very short attention span. Voting is the key that restores our democracy.

    (Plus, I like the editorial graphic much better than the old ‘one eye through glasses’ graphic.)

  2. Perfectly expressed – underestimating the effect of the media and soundbites is a mistake. We need to redirect and keep it simple.
    VOTE BLUE NO MATTER WHO! My mantra 🙂

  3. Thank you Sudhir. It could not have been better written!
    Let’s not forget that as has been said for a long time, Texas is NOT A RED STATE, it is A NON-VOTING STATE. There is no responsibilities more important for the TDP, its affiliates and individual Democrats than GOTV!
    It is also time to start repeating to our family members and our friends that voting is an obligation. After all they don’t think twice about paying taxes and buying car insurance. Do they?

  4. What must be considered, and is often ignored, is the question as to why so many don’t vote. It surely isn’t for a lack of knowledge, now with the internet, and with so many calling and knocking on doors. I believe that it is because we don’t address the needs of the voters well enough due to not being progressive enough. The reason I say this is because in case after case, when studied, people are very much for progressive agendas such as Bernie Sanders has stood for from the beginning of his political career. He knocked out both Republican and Democratic old style politicians to get where he is today. It’s fine and wise to vote BLUE in the general election “no matter who”, but in the primaries we need to move in a much more progressive direction. Half fixes are neither that impacting, note “Obama/Romney health care plan, nor are they apt to get people out to the polls. What many forget is that compromising with the Republicans even in the general and primary elections isn’t the best way to bargain nor the best way to excite the general public to vote. We also need to take risks in politics to get ahead. We continue to ignore the progressive, and more than that, revolutionary stands of Bernie Sanders who excites not just the younger voters but those who would be Democrats today, and voting ones, if this were once again the Party of FDR, whose progressive and revolutionary approaches are much the same as Bernie’s. So, in these primaries it matters very much that we don’t vote for “whoever” identifies as BLUE. What are their track records, if they even barely have any, and are they just about fixes or do they have the backbone to stand up to powerful financially oppressive forces the way FDR did? I put it to you: Today in the primaries it matters very much “which BLUE candidate is really the most reliable and best”. We need to listen to the kids and those in both Parties who respond well to the kind of FDR message that Bernie stands for and has stood for since before many of his opponents were even born. It’s not a time for comprised fixes, compromise is what we have to do when in office, it’s time to trust in the American people to respond to what their real interests are. I do agree with Nancy Pelosi to some degree, as even though we must take Trump to task and move toward impeachment, we should do as she wisely indicates: Put bread and butter ahead of war and greed! Just as Bernie has done for decades.

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